NHC Public Advisory
TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN NOV 04 2001 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MICHELLE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD CUBA... AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA... INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH. MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND A NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE SHOULD PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLE OF YOUTH LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN ACROSS CUBA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES. RAINBANDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND JAMAICA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF MICHELLE AS IT CROSSES CUBA. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALSO SPREADING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. A STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET...OR 6 METERS...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA. REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...20.4 N... 83.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM EST. FORECASTER STEWART/PASCH
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Last updated:
03/22/14